Luck
Luck is like the weather: everyone talks about it but no
one does anything about it. Luck is also like the weather in that it will have an impact on your life - maybe good, maybe bad. Rain falls on everyone, but for some of us that means a rained out picnic, for others it means a green lawn, and for still others it means a drowned child. If we can’t control our Luck, then is there any reason to think and talk about it?
Machiavelli observed that Lady Luck seems to favor those who demand much of her and expect her favors. They superstitiously believe that if they are sufficiently demanding of Luck, then Luck will come to heel like a well trained dog.
In The Modern Prince, I have restated the Machiavellian position on Luck based on Machiavelli’s original chapter on The Impact of Luck on Human Affairs. Please read this short chapter and tell me what you think of it.
Chapter XXV
The Two Types of Luck: Good and Bad
Lady Luck, Machiavelli observed, usually favors aggressive, demanding, and assertive men who demand much of her and are never grateful for her devotion. We have all known a Lucky man. Luck has fallen in love with me, he thinks, and I can demand anything I want from her. I never have to give her anything in return, he believes deep in his heart, because she has fallen in love with me. The Lucky man is impulsive. He flies by the seat of his pants and he always lands safely at the right airport. Somehow his impromptu schemes all turn out to be big successes. He treats Luck as if she was his subservient lover, and he demands much of her. And, Luck always does his bidding.
We have all known a Lucky woman. She expects good things to happen to her, and good things always do. She believes that she is special in a way that only she can understand. She is very smug about her good Luck and feels that she deserves it. This is because she believes that only good things happen to women who are special – and she is very special. Obstacles seem to melt in front of her. She never plans anything; she makes everything up on the spot. Luck continues to present her with expensive jewelry, stylish clothes, and anything else she wants. Women who are smug and demanding, who always feel entitled to the next gift, and who feel that they don’t owe anyone anything are the ones that Luck falls hopelessly in love with. Luck is her whipped dog, cringing and trembling in fear of her anger, yet obediently following her everywhere.
Machiavelli observed that those individuals who boldly rely on their personal good Luck – counting on it as an essential ingredient for their success in life – are the men and women whom Luck serves. Those who are fearful of bad Luck – Machiavelli believed – never get any of Luck’s favors. These individuals have to achieve their life’s success by their own shrewd planning and hard work.
Machiavelli seemed puzzled by this – as are we. But, we – like him – cannot not deny the evidence of our own eyes: some undeserving individuals are incredibly Lucky. Mysteriously, they are maintained in their undeserved and unearned positions in life by the persistent intervention of good Luck. They are even able to overcome competitors who are smarter and who work harder. What is the special relationship that these individuals have with Luck? How can we develop a similar relationship so that we can always be Lucky too? Unfortunately, no one can control Luck.
Luck is simply an ancient name for the way things happen in our Universe. We can define Luck as the sum of all the unpredictable events that can affect our lives but over which we have no influence. The only thing we can say about Luck with certainty is that it will have a profound impact on all our lives. Luck has had a huge impact on your life already.
Statistical and mathematical sciences were relatively undeveloped in the early 1500’s. Machiavelli didn’t know about randomness, distributions, or the normal curve. He did not know that Luck is distributed to all of us purely at random. This does not mean that everyone gets the same amount of good and bad Luck. It means that Luck is dealt out like cards at a poker table. Think about all the poker players who will play at all the big casinos tomorrow night. Will the Universe be fair to those poker players? Is there a Mysterious Invisible Power that gives good hands to the most deserving player – the one who will donate his winnings to cancer research? Will that same Power give the undeserving shoplifter, the card cheat, the embezzling broker, and the serial rapist only bad hands? We know, of course, that the Universe seems indifferent to our inner qualities when we are sitting at a poker table. Luck will not deliver good hands to the most deserving players or bad hands to the undeserving. Instead, the following will be true about the Luck those players will have tomorrow night or any other night. There will be:
Life is like the poker table. The deal is random. Some players get opportunities that others do not, and there is no good reason for it. Some players never get a single break. Some have their nerve broken by the constant advances and retreats of Luck. Some are so lucky so often that they feel entitled to it.
Luck is the shuffle of the cards. Luck is bird shit in your hair. Luck is the Lotto machine picking the numbers that you have been playing every week for five years – making you a millionaire. Luck is the Lotto machine picking your numbers – on the only day in five years that you forgot to buy your ticket. Luck is inadvertently running a stop sign at sixty miles per hour – when there is no cop around to write you a citation. Luck is inadvertently running a stop sign at sixty miles per hour – hitting a school bus filled with fourth-graders broadside. Luck is the difference between dropping a glass and seeing it shatter into a million splinters – or catching it intact and unharmed on the first bounce.
Many successful people do not believe in Luck. “You have to make your own Luck,” they boast. “I am successful because of who I am and how I behave, not because I was just Lucky.” These people never take into account the many others who are just as smart and just as hardworking but who never achieve their goals because of bad Luck. These boastful friends also never recognize their own good Luck in being born healthy, having a good education, having opportunities tossed into their laps, not being caught breaking the law, and never running a stop sign when a school bus is crossing the intersection.
Luck is wonderful to a few. These people are born to prominent families, sent to good universities, placed in excellent entry positions with good employers, socially connected, well-married, given healthy children, and protected from all preventable disasters by their economic resources and social connections. They live well, happily, healthy, and long. Their children are attractive and smart. They usually feel entitled to their good Luck. In fact, they usually believe that they earned or achieved their good fortune by their own ability. They feel that good things happen to good people, and that they have a special inner goodness that they cannot quite describe but which they can sense. Some believe that their Luck is a product of their will-power; that they force the World to shape itself to their requirements by the force of their powerful thoughts or the maniacal purity of their faith.
Luck is brutal to a few. Some people die young. Some are drowned in the bathtub by their insane mothers. Some are born into deformed or unhealthy bodies. Some are born in countries where there is no hope of education, no hope of economic security, no hope of political freedom, no access to modern health care, no hope of even keeping your clitoris, and no hope of immigrating to another country where things are different. Some are born to mothers with AIDS who pass the disease to them as their first birthday present. Some are imprisoned for life for crimes they did not commit. Some are very ugly and are shunned by those they would want for friends. “Why me?” they say. The empty answer is: “For no reason at all.”
Luck runs cold and hot for some. Each Lucky moment is offset by an equally unLucky one. Luck is tepid to most people. Nothing much happens.
Luck can change for the better or for the worse at any moment. You can’t control Luck – because by our definition Luck is the sum total of all things that you cannot control – but there are three things you can do about your Luck.
Love and Fear
Most people - Americans anyway - believe that love is a wonderful thing, that love is the glue of human relationships, and that the force of love is the solution to most human problems. Most people cannot define love and cannot explain its many, many failures.
Machiavelli was the first to ask whether it is better for a Prince to be loved or feared. Can love have a dark side? Can love ever be undesirable? Is love one thing or many things called by the same name, like many men are called John? What is fear? Can fear be useful? Is it possible to love something and fear it at the same time?
I challenge you to give up your delusions about love. Start by taking five minutes to read this short chapter from my book, The Modern Prince. Then spend some time thinking carefully about love and fear - unless you are afraid to do so. My challenge is not an empty one. Love is one of the most cherished concepts of our culture. It was not easy for me. It will not be easy for you.
I particularly enjoyed writing these two short chapters. The subject of one is Luck. What is Luck and how will it affect your life? From the Machiavellian perspective, Luck is the sum of all the events that can impact your life but which you cannot predict or control. We do not like to think that Luck will affect us much, but we would be foolish to indulge ourselves in that delusion. The second is on Love and Fear. Machiavelli was the first to pose the question: is it better - really - to be loved or feared in this world? Can you be honest with yourself about this question? Take ten minutes to read and think about these important concepts.
Cruelty and Mercy: Is It Better To Be Loved or Feared?
Is it better for those in your Domain to love you or fear you? What about those outside your Domain with whom you have relationships?
Obviously it is best to be both loved and feared whenever possible, because both reactions are generally to your advantage. The two emotions are not contradictory at all and they occur together. Most of us are very fearful of the disapproval of someone we love, afraid of losing their love to someone else, fearful that something bad will happen to them, etc. Sometimes, however, you must choose one or the other.
Usually being feared is the more desirable of the two. This assertion flies in the face of commonly held beliefs, but consider the facts with an open mind.
Love
Love is not an emotion or a physiological response pattern, like fear, anger, or laughter. The word “love” is commonly used in reference to a number of cherished cultural concepts. That is, several streams of thought in our cultural heritage are all – unfortunately for clear thought – referred to by that same four-letter word, though they have no real relationship to one another.
Love is very perishable. Even those who love a good steak or a good novel do not love the same steak or the same novel for very long. The love of the miser for his money is probably the most enduring of the types of love mentioned above. Love is one word with many definitions. It is used to refer to many dissimilar moods and many dissimilar behaviors. This endows the word with an undeserved aura of mystery and a sense of overarching grandness, as if it were one amazing and incomprehensible thing instead of a lot of very small very different things.
Love between humans is unreliable and fickle. Those who love you today will leave you, sue you, defame you, betray you, trick you, lie to you, change your locks, empty your account, and deceive you tomorrow. If you have not experienced this aspect of love as yet, then you have only to wait for a little while. Those who declare love to be the greatest and grandest of all experiences also proclaim that the many, many, many examples of the failure of love are all isolated exceptions to the unquestionable rule of love, namely that it is eternal, unfailing, and unchanging. They never examine the concept of love and are never discouraged about love no matter how many exceptions and failures are encountered. Every failure of love or of a loving relationship is seen as “not true love.”
The one thing that is true of all forms of love is that those who love you demand much of you: time, consideration, time, attention, time, friendliness, time, faithfulness, time, money, time, etc. If you do not pay those who love you the coin they demand, then their love for you can change to bitter hatred between two beats of their loving hearts. None hate so intensely as those who once loved. If you do not pay sufficient attention to your wife, even she will do her best to make your life here on earth a living Hell. If you do not pay God the loving and slavish worship that He demands, even He will send your spirit to Hell for trillions of years of flaming agony with no hope of escape.
Those who love you will demand much of you. Be prepared to pay the high price of being loved.
Fear
Fear, on the other hand, is dependable, constant, and less demanding than love. Strike fear in a man’s heart one time and he will fear you forever. Those who fear you will try to avoid you, and this may be to your advantage. If you do not allow them to avoid you, then they will obey you.
Our conclusion remains, then, is that it is better to be both loved and feared, but if you must choose one or the other, then it is better to be feared.

www.MidasJones.com
The Modern Prince:
Better Living Through Machiavellianism
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The Modern Prince is based on The Prince, a little book of advice written by Nicolo Machiavelli to the Prince of Renaissance Florence five hundred years ago. I have rewritten Machiavelli’s classic work for the modern reader. I used the same lively, readable style that you find in these web pages. Machiavelli’s ideas have been used by the movers and shakers of the world for five centuries.
This is your one and only life. Live it by your own rules and on your own terms.
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